MANIFOLD
If Jasmine Crockett is the Democratic nominee, will she win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ484
Dec 31
31%
chance

Exactly what it sounds like.

N/A if Crockett loses the Dem nomination.

See this market for Talarico: https://manifold.markets/bens/if-james-talarico-wins-the-texas-se

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This is a tough one because Paxton is a really bad candidate.

Thanks for making these

@LoganTurner so true lol, I duplicated the Talarico market

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