Creator judgement. CCR. Can be part of Greenland (not necessarily the whole thing.)
You can suggest answers that I can add to the market.
Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple options are true, the market will resolve to MULTI (multiple answers).
Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple answers are true, the market will resolve to MULTI (multiple answers can be selected).
Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed they will not resolve this market to N/A, regardless of any conflicts or issues with answer options.
Update 2026-01-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer "USA does not control whole of Greenland by EOY" will resolve based on its literal meaning. The previous interpretation (that this answer covered control between 10km and the whole of Greenland) applied only when this was a dependent multiple choice market where only one answer could resolve YES. Now that multiple answers can resolve YES, this answer means exactly what it says.
Update 2026-01-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer "<10sqkm of Greenlandic territory controlled by US by EOY" will resolve YES if 0 square kilometers of Greenland is controlled by the US (since 0 is less than 10).
Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): All answers will be evaluated based on the status as of the end of 2026 (by January 1, 2027, when the market closes).
Update 2026-01-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The existing Pituffik Space Base (formerly Thule Air Base) does not count towards the total square kilometers of Greenlandic territory controlled by the US for purposes of evaluating the "<10sqkm of Greenlandic territory controlled by US by EOY" answer option.
Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Resolves 50% if the US owns <10sqkm of Greenland by EOY, otherwise, resolves to 5x the number of traders on this option": the resolution will be based on the number of holders (not traders) on this option.
Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Resolves 50% if the US owns <10sqkm of Greenland by EOY, otherwise, resolves to 5x the number of traders on this option": there are currently 4 holders on this option (as of the creator's comment on 2026-02-20).
People are also trading
@realDonaldTrump Or more simply, how many traders are there as per the option right now, if you were to resolve it right now?
@realDonaldTrump Does the existing base (Pituffik) count towards the total, if it still is controlled by the US at EOY?
How is "long term lease" and "less than 10km2" both over 50%? a lease depending on how it is structured surely counts as control. I suppose what would stop them being overvalued is a very small lease of less than 10 km2.
@realDonaldTrump Does this resolve Yes or No if no part of Greenland is controlled by the US?
I mean 0 is <10sqkm.
@realDonaldTrump Do the tarrifs have to apply to all countries or any single one would suffice? How explicit does the connection between tariffs and Greenland have to be? If the tariffs are imposed but the USA doesn't control Greenland by EOY, does this resolve No?
@realDonaldTrump the previous author agreed that this is about between 10km and a whole
@Waterfalls i was the previous author, also that was for dependent MC where only one could resolve yes, now it's just exactly what it says because multiple can result yes
@realDonaldTrump controlling 10 km does not make sense. you need an area, not a distance. perhaps our president ought not to be a middle schooler. (jkjk) please correct as it currently is unfeasible to invest in such a misformulated question🤣
@realDonaldTrump This is much better as an independent type market. I appreciate the restart.
However, the copied description is still stale from the old market and might not be the intention for this market. I don't think the rule about resolving to 50% is needed here.

