MANIFOLD
How well will I do in puzzlehunts held in 2026? (See description)
3
แน€125แน€321
2027
66%
CMU Hunt Spring 2026
66%
CMU Hunt Fall 2026
59%
Brown Puzzle Hunt
46%
Cruzzle Hunt: The Specter of the Show

Resolves to 100% if I get 1st in a hunt, 0% if I am not in the top 20. Otherwise, 5*(21-place)%.

I'll add hunts throughout the year as they are announced if I intend to participate in them.

N/A if a hunt added doesn't run for some reason, or makes it impossible to determine a ranking. (Even if there aren't leaderboards, I'll try to find a ranking if, say, there are per-puzzle stats for the endgame puzzle.)

[Added Feb 20:] Also N/A if I end up not doing a hunt due to some unforeseen event (e.g. some higher priority thing happens)

(Don't bet on [DON'T BET, WILL N/A AT END OF 2026], that's just so that there's always at least one choice before market close)

Additional information:

For smaller online hunts I intend to hunt on ๐Ÿช€๐Ÿฆž๐ŸŒฎ. This is a two-person team. I will comment if this isn't the case (last year, this was Teammate Hunt, Microsoft Puzzlehunt and Puzzle Boat*).

For larger online hunts, I'll probably hunt on r/PictureGame.

* Galactic would also fall into this bucket but I wrote for GPH last year. Same with Huntinality (which didn't run for obvious reasons). I hunted with C@r@line Syzygy for Puzzle Boat last year as r/PictureGame doesn't usually field a team.

Market context
Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Update: I added another N/A clause if I don't do a hunt due to external circumstances (this is distinct from doing a hunt and giving up / not finishing, or starting the hunt late). Also extended market slightly from 11:59pm GMT to 11:59pm Pacific.

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTermsโ€ขPrivacy