Will monkey beat Minecraft before we get AGI?
7
Ṁ130Ṁ1.9k2042
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if monkey beats minecraft first (according criteria outline here)
Resolves NO if we make AGI first
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?
59% chance
Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
90% chance
Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
70% chance
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?
47% chance
AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027?
22% chance
Will AI wipe out monkeys by 2030?
2% chance
AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?
66% chance
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?
79% chance
Will AI create the first AGI?
42% chance
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?
70% chance