MANIFOLD
Will Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
51
Ṁ1kṀ7.8k
2028
93%
chance

Market context
US Politics
Politics
Democratic Party
2028 US presidential election
Gavin Newsom
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Gavin Newsom be elected President in 2028?
19% chance
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?
28% chance
When will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Will Gavin Newsom be the Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate for the Democrats in 2028?
28% chance
If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election?
56% chance
Will Gavin Newsom lead the 2028 Dem Nominee betting on…?
Will Gavin Newsom become president by 2032?
40% chance
Will Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
35% chance
Will Gavin Newsom ever be elected President?
21% chance
Gavin Newsom gets at least 45% of the popular vote in 2028 Presidential Election
24% chance
Sort by:

Is running for Democratic nominee enough to be "running for president"? this is the key question and the @mods should either answer it or n/a the market since the user is two years inactive

Does it count as a NO if he doesn’t win the primary?

related:

https://manifold.markets/DanielRohrer/will-jb-pritzker-run-for-president?r=RGFuaWVsUm9ocmVy

this is closing next month?

@adk Wrong November, thanks!

People are also trading

Will Gavin Newsom be elected President in 2028?
19% chance
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?
28% chance
When will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Will Gavin Newsom be the Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate for the Democrats in 2028?
28% chance
If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election?
56% chance
Will Gavin Newsom lead the 2028 Dem Nominee betting on…?
Will Gavin Newsom become president by 2032?
40% chance
Will Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
35% chance
Will Gavin Newsom ever be elected President?
21% chance
Gavin Newsom gets at least 45% of the popular vote in 2028 Presidential Election
24% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy