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MANIFOLD
Will the winner of Eurovision 2026 come from Europe?
25
Ṁ1kṀ3.6k
May 17
89%
chance
4

While most countries in Eurovision come from Europe, several countries geographically outside Europe participate in the contest, a notable example being Australia.

This market resolves NO if any of the listed countries (4 out of 35) win:

-Armenia

-Australia

-Azerbaijan

-Israel

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I don’t think this is a valid market. Armenia, Australia, Azerbaijan, and Israel are all obviously geographically parts of Europe, since they are participating in Eurovision.