MANIFOLD
Will @SimonWestlake be in the March 2026 Masters league?
8
แน€100แน€292
Mar 3
36%
chance
4

I just made into the February Masters League for the first time. Will I hold onto it?

If there are no objections, I may buy YES shares in this market, but I will not buy any NO shares or shell sell any held YES shares.

There will be no AI clarifications added to this market's description.

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Not looking great

@traders I'm starting to feel like I might actually have a chance!

Would anyone object to me changing the rules so that I can bet YES? To keep incentives 100% aligned, I would commit to holding any YES shares through market close without selling them (and of course I would never buy NO shares).

Since I clearly stated that I would not buy any shares, if even just a single person objects (who traded prior to me posting this comment), I will hold to my original statement.

If there are no objections after 24 hours, I will give myself permission. If any objections are given after that time, I will not buy any additional shares past that point.

Either way, I'm very motivated to remain in the Masters League.

@SimonWestlake I'm on board with the change if nobody objects. I see no obvious conflict of interest.

@Quroe To steelman the opposing viewpoint, my "free mana" repost communicated that I was not trying very hard to stay in Masters, and could certainly be viewed as market manipulation.

If I knew I might end up wanting to buy YES shares, I never would have done that, but you have to take my word for it that I genuinely believed that failure was a foregone conclusion at that point.

Given that, I'll wait between 24 and 72 hours, and only wait less than 72 hours if it's been an hour since everyone holding shares has traded on any market since I sent the ping.

It's been more than 72 hours, and this market is priced more appropriately, so I'll go ahead and make a YES bet

reposted

I'm back in the remaining zone, for now

reposted

Free mana!

@mods Please unrank

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