MANIFOLD
Who will run for President of the United States in 2028?
95%
Josh Shapiro
94%
Gavin Newsom
93%
JD Vance
82%
JB Pritzker
76%
Jon Ossoff
75%
Ted Cruz
61%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
59%
Marco Rubio
57%
Andy Beshear
55%
Glenn Youngkin
49%
Pete Buttigieg
48%
Tulsi Gabbard
45%
Brian Kemp
40%
Chris Van Hollen
36%
Stephen A. Smith
35%
Kristi Noem
34%
Nikki Haley
32%
Cory Booker
31%
Ron DeSantis
26%
Will Hurd

Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy. (Informal statements by the candidate are irrelevant to resolution.)

All other options resolve NO once all relevant deadlines have passed. Close date is provisional in that this market will likely resolve earlier than it once I identify all relevant deadlines.

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bought Ṁ20 NO

@256 Junior or Senior?

bought Ṁ20 NO

@jks senior

bought Ṁ3 YES

Related:

Mike Johnson might run should he become president after Trump and Vance both having to vacate the presidency because of scandal or after passing away.

@Robincvgr does running in a primary count?

@100Anonymous yes, whenever the FEC Form 2 is filed

bought Ṁ5 YES

Wes Moore?

@StevenBlake Ask and you shall receive

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