MANIFOLD
Who Will Win an Individual Gold Medal at the 2028 Olympic Games?
9
Ṁ250Ṁ330
2028
86%
Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone
85%
Katie Ledecky
85%
Leon Marchand
85%
Summer McIntosh
80%
Bobby Finke
80%
Amit Elor
60%
Letsile Tebogo
59%
Grant Holloway
53%
Noah Lyles
50%
Torri Huske
50%
Lee Kiefer
50%
Ryan Crouser
50%
Valerie Allman
50%
Gabby Thomas
50%
Rai Benjamin
50%
Gretchen Walsh
37%
Tara Davis-Woodhall
35%
Quincy Wilson
31%
Kate Douglass
31%
Katie Grimes

Each answer choice that wins gold resolves to YES.

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Market context
Sports
Olympics
Athletics
2028 Summer Olympics
Competition
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bought Ṁ10 NO

@Riley12 Simone is probably retiring before then.

I like the idea of this market, not sure if there was one for Paris.

Any ideas on how exactly it should be structured which athletes should be added?

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