Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed before 2031?
26
Ṁ210Ṁ1.6k2031
41%
chance
9
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if strong evidence as to the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto emerges before January 1st 2031.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Who will the documentary "Finding Satoshi" name as Satoshi Nakamoto?
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)
Will the upcoming documentary "Finding Satoshi" actually find Satoshi?
10% chance
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
56% chance
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
33% chance
When will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven?
2049
Will Satoshi Nakamoto spend any bitcoin before 2035?
32% chance
Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
If the identity of Satoshi is ever definitively proven, who will it be?
Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
25% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will the documentary "Finding Satoshi" name as Satoshi Nakamoto?
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)
Will the upcoming documentary "Finding Satoshi" actually find Satoshi?
10% chance
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
56% chance
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
33% chance
When will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven?
2049
Will Satoshi Nakamoto spend any bitcoin before 2035?
32% chance
Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
If the identity of Satoshi is ever definitively proven, who will it be?
Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
25% chance