Will someone turn 123 before 2032?
9
Ṁ110Ṁ1.1k2032
3%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a person has reached the age of 123 before January 1st 2032.
Different years:
/RemNi/will-someone-turn-123-before-2031
/RemNi/will-someone-turn-123-before-2032 (this question)
If all known candidates pass away before this date, then this question resolves as NO.
Oldest people: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oldest_people
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will I get married by 2030?
42% chance
Will I get married by 2035?
67% chance
Will anyone reach 125 years of age before 2035?
6% chance
Will anyone be at least 130 years old by 2072?
43% chance
Will we see someone live to 120 years old by 2030?
21% chance
Will anyone be at least 140 years old by 2072?
31% chance
Will the oldest person alive in 2030 be at least 120 years old?
20% chance
Will anyone be at least 150 years old by 2072?
13% chance
Will any human who was never in a human womb reach 1 year of age before 2032?
15% chance
Will anyone currently living be verified as 120 years old by 2030?
21% chance