MANIFOLD
Will global mean sea level rise by more than 0.13 meters by 2030?
9
Ṁ190Ṁ190
2031
67%
chance

Predicted by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administraion.

Technical Report of 2022

Market context
Climate
Climate change
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 NO

Relative to 2000 baseline, right? How does it resolve if it's exactly 0.13?

People are also trading

Will (global average) sea level rise by more than 1.1 meters (as predicted by the IPCC) by 2100 ?
10% chance
Will global temperatures exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by 2030?
90% chance
Will global carbon dioxide levels decrease in any year before 2030
6% chance
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?
11% chance
Will global carbon dioxide levels decrease in any year before 2035?
13% chance
What will be the annual mean CO2 level in 2030?
438
Will the world pass 1.5 C average annual temperature by 2030?
90% chance
Will climate intervention (geoengineering) reduce global mean surface temperature by at least 0.1°C by 2030?
15% chance
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
3% chance
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
33% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy