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Will North Korea announce a new nuclear-policy at the Workers’ Party Congress?
11
Ṁ100Ṁ800
Mar 14
24%
chance

Resolves YES if North Korean state media (e.g., KCNA or Rodong Sinmun) reports the adoption or announcement of a new or revised nuclear policy, doctrine, or law at or immediately following the Workers’ Party Congress, beyond mere reaffirmation of existing policy.

Resolves NO if statements only reiterate existing nuclear policy without announcing a new doctrine, law, or formal policy change.

  • Update 2026-02-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the Workers' Party Congress extends beyond the market close date (February 28, 2026) into early March, resolution will be deferred until after the congress has concluded.

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There seems to uncertainty about the exact start and end dates for the congress. If the congress runs into early March, will you defer resolution of this market until the congress has ended?

@SacredChicken Yeah I'll wait till it's over.

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