MANIFOLD

Will there be a Waymo skit on SNL in 2025?

104

Ṁ1kṀ20k

resolved Jan 1

Resolved

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This is Casey's medium-confidence prediction from the 1/3/15 episode of the "Hard Fork" podcast.

Market will resolve to yes if Waymo features in a Saturday Night Live skit in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to no.

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What counts as a "Waymo skit"? Do they have to be in a waymo or by a waymo? or can they just be talking about it for like 30 secs and then there's something else.

bought Ṁ200 NO

Only a small portion or culturally significant things will get a dedicated SNL skit in 2025, so even if Waymo gets significant enough, I think there’s no more than 30% chance it makes it in the show.