Will Harry and Meghan divorce by 2030?
40
Ṁ1kṀ4.7k2029
57%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will I get married by 2030?
42% chance
Will Prince Harry and Meghan divorce by 2030?
58% chance
Will Prince Harry and Meghan Markle divorce/break up before 2030?
64% chance
Will Harry and Meghan divorce by 2027?
61% chance
Will Prince Harry and Meghan Markle divorce/break up before 2040?
69% chance
Will I get married by 2035?
67% chance
Will Prince Harry be formally stripped of his royal title by the end of 2030?
36% chance
Obamas get divorced or separated by mid 2030
12% chance
Will Melania divorce or separate from Trump by 2050?
15% chance
Will Emily and I get a divorce by end of 2040?
32% chance
Sort by:
@footgun What about celebrity marriages, where the family's against it? Those seem to both be heavy pressure against.
According to https://marriagefoundation.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/pdf-03.pdf, celebrity divorce rate in first 14 year of marriage is 50%.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will I get married by 2030?
42% chance
Will Prince Harry and Meghan divorce by 2030?
58% chance
Will Prince Harry and Meghan Markle divorce/break up before 2030?
64% chance
Will Harry and Meghan divorce by 2027?
61% chance
Will Prince Harry and Meghan Markle divorce/break up before 2040?
69% chance
Will I get married by 2035?
67% chance
Will Prince Harry be formally stripped of his royal title by the end of 2030?
36% chance
Obamas get divorced or separated by mid 2030
12% chance
Will Melania divorce or separate from Trump by 2050?
15% chance
Will Emily and I get a divorce by end of 2040?
32% chance