Will I get into the following _____ in 2026?

Question

My stats:

MOP '24 (30 on JMO)

20 on USAMO '25 (Bronze)

USACO Finalist '24

100/0/300/700 in USACO '25 plat season 
USAPHO '24 Bronze

14 on F=MA '25

Current scores:

333/500 in USACO

138/144 on AMC 12

12 on AIME

Update 2026-03-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A new option for USAPHO Bronze has been added to the market, following the creator qualifying for USAPHO.

Update 2026-04-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A new option for IOI (International Olympiad in Informatics) has been added to the market, following the creator qualifying for USACO Camp.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, USAPHO Bronze, followed by IOI and SPARC are most likely. See the market for live updates (37 traders, as of Apr 17, 2026).

People are also trading

Related questions