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When will it be possible to order a drink with "precision fermentation" derived "milk" at Starbucks?
13
Ṁ1kṀ1.6k
2031
65%
before the end of 2030
59%
before the end of 2029
58%
before the end of 2028
54%
before the end of 2027
15%
before the end of 2026

there are several startups working on methods of GMO-yeast-based fermentation to produce milk proteins, including Remilk, Perfect Day, Future Cow, and others.

When will it be possible to order a Starbucks drink using a milk substitute based on this technology?

  • Update 2026-02-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if any Manifold user can produce a receipt for a drink made with precision fermentation (PF) milk from Starbucks.

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@JesWolfe What scale are you looking for here? US-wide rollout? It seems it has already been trialled in 2021:

"Perfect Day’s milk is currently available at two Seattle locations for a limited time."

https://www.greenqueen.com.hk/perfect-days-dairy-starbucks/

@fwbt if any manifold user is able to produce a receipt for a PF drink, I’ll resolve “yes”

https://thespoon.tech/remilk-launches-recombinant-dmilk-in-through-joint-venture-eyes-us-launch-in-2026/

"for the next six to nine months, our focus is going to be succeeding in Israel. [...] A US partnership is definitely something we’re aiming for in 2026.”

I'm out of the loop as Europe is too GMO-skeptical for these products, but it sounds like the current products don't taste like milk but Remilk might be better? Unclear if it's up to the level required for good lattes though.

bought Ṁ50 NO

All of your other options are too far out to be appealing, unfortunately!

suggestions for appealing options? I can still add some

Just due to interest rates, it won't be too appealing to bet on the options further out than a year or so

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