How many more US government shutdowns will there be in Trumps second term?
16
Ṁ1kṀ3.2k2029
2.99 shutdowns
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
66%
>=2
52%
>=3
15%
>=4
10%
>=5
6%
>=6
Since market creation.
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The first shutdown (occurring around market creation) is not counted in the total. For the market to resolve to ≥1, there would need to be a second shutdown during Trump's second term.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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