MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2026 TX-31 Republican primary?
7
Ṁ300Ṁ342
May 28
80%
John Carter
11%
Valentina Gomez
1.7%
Offer Vince Shlomi
0.7%
Abhiram Garapati
0.7%
Dr David L Berry
1.8%
Raymond Hamden
0.7%
William Abel
0.7%
Steve Dowell
0.7%
Ed Ewald
0.7%
Elvis Lossa
0.7%
Michael Howard Williams
0.7%
Jack McConnell

Texas' 31st Congressional District Republican primary, March 3, 2026. Incumbent Rep. John Carter (R) is seeking a 13th term and has Trump's endorsement. He faces 11 challengers including conservative activist Valentina Gomez (who ran for Missouri Secretary of State in 2024), infomercial pitchman Offer Vince "ShamWow" Shlomi, businessman Abhiram Garapati, and others. If no candidate crosses 50%, the top two advance to a May 26 runoff. R+11 district covering Bell and Williamson counties north of Austin.

Resolves to the winner of the primary.

Market context
Politics
US Politics
Elections
Texas
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bought Ṁ25 YES

Recommendation for future markets: always add an "Other" option just in case something weird happens (filing deadline extended, write-ins allowed, etc, etc)

The ShamWow guy is running for elected office? lmao

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