This market refers to OpenAI's next open-weight model release, regardless of what it is ultimately named. Minor naming changes from the working name 'GPT-OSS' will count.
The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
See also:
Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date
Gemini 3.5 (Google) release date
Gemini 4.0 (Google) release date
R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date
Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date
Kimi K3 (Moonshot) release date
Mistral 4 (Mistral) release date
OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date (this market)
New image / video "Mango" model (Meta) release date
People are also trading
@Bayesian i'll bet when u vote https://manifold.markets/jim/straight-mens-would-you-date-a-tran?r=amlt