MANIFOLD
State of the Union Address 2026
101
Ṁ15kṀ18k
Mar 6
4%
2026 State of the Union address is canceled
94%
Biden is mentioned by Donald trump
96%
State of the Union address is given by Trump
2%
No elected Democrats in attendance
94%
Jd Vance and Mike Johnson are sitting behind Donald trump
16%
AOC is in attendance
30%
Elon Musk is in attendance
25%
Every current Supreme Court justice in attendance
78%
Greenland is mentioned by Donald trump
17%
Epstein is mentioned by trump
25%
Zohran/Mamdani is mentioned by trump
16%
AI video is used
45%
Putin will be mentioned by name
38%
Non-US World Leader in attendance
73%
5 or more people coordinate outfits
88%
Board of Peace is mentioned
6%
Benjamin Netanyahu is in attendance
82%
President will get heckled or booed
93%
China is mentioned by trump
91%
John Fetterman in attendance

State of the Union Address (SOTU)

Address to a Joint Session of Congress

Will make every effort to resolve each item based on available information from viewing the address, official and unofficial transcripts, Wikipedia, and other sources. If there is no credible source, will resolve N/A. Some items will take longer to resolve than others.

This is meant to be a fun market. If you have any question about the interpretation of an item ask before participating in it, no exceptions. Participate at your own risk.

If the Address does not happen, all pertinent items resolve NO.

All added options, if not easily resolved default to the owner, if unresponsive, will N/A.

I will try to resolve props as quickly as possible, however, this may not always be the case. If something does or does not happen and the question is not resolved in a timely manner, do not interpret it as a ruling one way or another and have it influence your decisions. I've either missed it or need to do further research after the SOTU to confirm. I will attempt to have everything resolved on the night of the event, but give me a few days to take care of anything I may have missed. Thank you!

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bought Ṁ1 YES

Does being in uniform constitute coordinating outfits?

Created a prop market for the counter-rally nearby:

On my answers, “mentioned” means mentioned by Trump during his speech

bought Ṁ10 NO

@Jack1 The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.

He’ll probably clap for everything trump says

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