MANIFOLD
When will the Winds of Winter be released?
3
Ṁ250Ṁ92
2051
November 8, 2031
20%
Before 2027
25%
Before 2028
70%
Before 2029
41%
Before 2030
44%
Before 2031
48%
Before 2032
50%
Before 2033
50%
Before 2034
50%
Before 2035
66%
Before 2036

The Winds of Winter is the planned sixth novel in A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin. Each threshold resolves YES if the book is officially published and available for purchase in any format (print, digital, or audio) through at least one major retailer (e.g., Amazon, Barnes & Noble, or equivalent) before the listed date. If the novel is split into multiple volumes, the first volume's publication date counts. A title change does not affect resolution as long as it is marketed as the sixth ASOIAF novel. Each threshold resolves NO if George R. R. Martin dies before the book's official publication date, even if a completed manuscript exists. Posthumous publication does not count.

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