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AI model achieves superhuman ELO on Codeforces by June 1st 2027?
26
Ṁ200Ṁ2k
2027
72%
chance

Similar to https://manifold.markets/StephenMcAleese/will-an-ai-model-achieve-superhuman

This market will be resolved as YES if any AI lab announces that their model has achieved a higher ELO than any human on the Codeforces leaderboard at the time of the model's release.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

As far as I can tell, the new Deep Think update reports a 3455 ELO, which would be 8th in the world. Pretty good progress

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