Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?
87
Ṁ1kṀ7.9k2030
91%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Betting YES means marijuana is not a Schedule 1 drug at some time before the given date. The question resolves positively if marijuana is still a controlled substance, but not Schedule 1. If marijuana is de-classified and then re-classified, the question would resolve positively. State-level reclassifications/decriminalization/legalization don't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a U.S. state legalize marijuana in 2026
70% chance
What drugs will be made to be schedule 1 by 2030
Will a psychedelic substance get de-scheduled by the US by 2030?
44% chance
Will any country that has once decriminalized or legalized marijuana revert it again before 2030?
39% chance
Will the state of Louisiana legalize marijuana by the end of 2030?
40% chance
Will the UK legalise marijuana by 2030?
15% chance
Kratom federally banned in US by 2030?
61% chance
Will Texas legalize recreational Marijuana before 2030?
61% chance
Will psychedelics be decriminalized by the majority of US states by 2030?
22% chance
Will more than 1 in 5 US adults use marijuana in a typical month of 2030?
34% chance