MANIFOLD
Ken Paxton wins first round of Texas gop senate primary by 9.0000%+?
3
Ṁ137Ṁ46
Mar 3
56%
chance

Resolves yes if Ken paxtons margin of victory in the first round is 9.0000% or more. Resolves no if it is 8.999999% or less, or he doesn’t win.

Primary is on March 3 2026. Runoff does not have any effect on this market.

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