Will I be published in a major news outlet by the end of 2026?
8
Ṁ1kṀ1.8kDec 31
28%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Major" here will refer to any outlet with a Wikipedia page.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will my novel be published (or be on track to be) by mid-2026?
30% chance
Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?
21% chance
Will I publish 2 blog posts a month every month in 2026?
72% chance
Will I publish 24 Substack posts in 2026?
53% chance
Will I publish more Substack articles in 2026 than in 2025?
54% chance
Will I publish 30 substacks in 2026?
48% chance
Will I have a PhD by the end of 2026?
5% chance
Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?
Will I make an article before the end of the academic year?
37% chance
Will I be alive at the end of 2026?
95% chance