Will James Fishback get more than 9% of the vote in the 2026 Florida Gubernatorial GOP Primary?

Ṁ300Ṁ111

Aug 25

47%

chance

ALL

I hope not.
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Resolves when all votes are counted, or when it becomes mathematically impossible for him to drop below or rise above 9%. YES if more than 9%, NO if 9% or lower. If he drops out or is not on the ballot for any reason, then resolves NO.
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Recent polls have him at 3-5%, with 40-50% undecided. Outlier poll from "Patriot Polling" has him at 23% (!).
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Snippet from Wikipedia Article:

"In his announcement video, Fishback criticized Donalds' record in Congress, and later attacked Donalds for his ties to "corporate interests," calling him a "slave to his donors".[12][13][21][20]

Fishback has been described as a strong supporter of Florida governor Ron DeSantis, and has praised his "historical record" while in office.[22][23] During his campaign, Fishback defended supporters of far-right political commentator Nick Fuentes, saying, "I've found the audience of young men who follow and watch Nick Fuentes to be actually incredibly informed and insightful and very patriotic."[24] Fishback has been described as a "groyper",[25] a label which he disputes.[5][26]

On January 9, 2026, Fishback appeared on Tucker Carlson's podcast, where Carlson lent Fishback his support.[27] On January 12, he made a post labeling Donalds "By'rone" and accusing him of wanting to "turn Florida into a Section 8 ghetto". The remark attracted media coverage and was criticized as racist by other political candidates.[28][29]"
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Snippets from ChatGPT:

"A former student alleged that Fishback initiated a romantic relationship with her when she was a minor (17) and he was in his late 20s, leading a school district to cut ties with his nonprofit."

"Fishback created a Tinder account to “meet young female voters,” later asking for campaign donations to buy more app swipes, which many observers found bizarre or inappropriate for a gubernatorial campaign."

"He’s promoted unusual policy proposals — e.g., a 50% tax on OnlyFans creators — that have been mocked or criticized as extreme or tone-deaf."
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